Werewolf Round 8

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Vardaen
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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Vardaen » Fri Oct 17, 2008 10:19 pm

I'm not so sure not killing someone is a smart idea... we are still going on the assumption that Nate isn't the other killer and he's just playing us really really good.

I don't think that is the case but you never know.
"He that breaks a thing to find out what it is has left the path of wisdom." - Gandalf
J.R.R. Tolkien, Council of Elrond, The Fellowship of the Ring

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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Deadman » Fri Oct 17, 2008 10:31 pm

But he revealed Melvyst. I can't imagine a killer would give up their partner. And it doesn't make sense. Declaring himself the sage would have revealed himself as a werewolf to the real sage, who could have denounced him the next day. Unless Sempai was the sage. But the odds of the werewolves miraculously picking the sage on the first night after pretending to be the sage, it's just too unlikely. Nate has to be the sage.

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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Nate » Fri Oct 17, 2008 11:08 pm

Well, If I do the math here we've got two options, Either hang A person tonight, and tomorrow...

Or hang nobody tonight or tomorrow.

If we hang one person today, that leaves us with three tomorrow.

If we hang nobody today, that leaves us with four tomorrow, and two the following day If we hang somebody tomorrow with the killer unknown.

Which means the killer would win.

P.S. I haven't said if the watchman is dead or not yet, nor will I...

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Vardaen
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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Vardaen » Fri Oct 17, 2008 11:15 pm

Alright, I'm on board with Jaquce Custoue here, lets thow my poodles to the wind and not hang someone today.

I second the nomination to NOT evcit anyone. Auhau-hauh-huah
"He that breaks a thing to find out what it is has left the path of wisdom." - Gandalf
J.R.R. Tolkien, Council of Elrond, The Fellowship of the Ring

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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Kilroy » Fri Oct 17, 2008 11:43 pm

I agree with not killing anyone today or tomorrow. Hopefully someone will be revealed tonight!

I don't like the idea that I have a 50% chance of dying tonight!!
"If at first you DO succeed, try not to look surprised!"

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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Deadman » Sat Oct 18, 2008 12:29 am

Not killing anyone gives Nate a 1/3 chance of finding the killer tonight. And it also gives the killer a 1/3rd chance of revealing themselves by killing the last remaining unscanned villager and exposing themselves by the process of elimination. And then tomorrow we'll have a 50/50 chance of successfully guessing. But if we guess wrong then we're dead because it'll be 1 to 1. The odds are in our favor though. I vote for no killing.

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Vardaen
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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Vardaen » Sat Oct 18, 2008 12:49 am

Ok No killing this time around, I vote Yes to not hanging anyone.

Ah-huah-huah
"He that breaks a thing to find out what it is has left the path of wisdom." - Gandalf
J.R.R. Tolkien, Council of Elrond, The Fellowship of the Ring

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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Amaris » Sat Oct 18, 2008 5:22 am

It appears that Vardaen, Nate, Deadman, and Kilroy all wish to not hang anyone tonight. With that said the evening will draw to a close.

Players you know what to do!
7 chipmunks twirlin' on a branch, eatin' lots of sunflowers on my uncle's ranch. You know that old children's tale from the sea.

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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Amaris » Mon Oct 20, 2008 9:04 am

If you don't...
Killer Watchman and Sage PM me with your choices.
Please,
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7 chipmunks twirlin' on a branch, eatin' lots of sunflowers on my uncle's ranch. You know that old children's tale from the sea.

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Vardaen
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Re: Werewolf Round 8

Post by Vardaen » Mon Oct 20, 2008 4:41 pm

The Frenchie sleeps awaiting the morning and his cousaoints with marmalade he dreams fit fully, "Ahu-huah-huah!"
"He that breaks a thing to find out what it is has left the path of wisdom." - Gandalf
J.R.R. Tolkien, Council of Elrond, The Fellowship of the Ring

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